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Oil prices spike to record above $117 a barrel

By THOMAS HOGUE

BANGKOK, Thailand (AP) — Oil prices spiked to a record above $117 a barrel Monday in Asia following an attack on a key pipeline in Nigeria at the end of last week.

Comments over the weekend by an OPEC official that the group isn't likely to increase production also supported prices.

Abdullah el al-Badri, secretary-general of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said Sunday that oil prices would likely go higher and that the group was ready to raise production if the price pressure was due to a shortage of supply — something he doubted.

"Oil prices, there is a common understanding that has nothing to do with supply and demand," al-Badri said on the sidelines of an energy conference in Rome.

Light, sweet crude for May delivery rose as high as $117.05 a barrel in Asian electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange early Monday. At midday in Singapore, the contract was trading at $116.73 a barrel, up 4 cents from the end of last week.

On Friday, May crude surged $1.83 to $116.69 a barrel following the attack on the Royal Dutch Shell PLC pipeline by the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta — the main militant group in Nigeria's restive south.

The group also promised further attacks on the petroleum industry in Africa's largest producer of crude oil.

Last Friday, Shell confirmed a pipeline leak that it said appeared to have been caused by explosives. It said it had isolated the line for repairs and that a small quantity of production had been shut.

Attacks since early 2006 on Nigerian oil infrastructure by the militant group have cut nearly one-quarter of the country's normal petroleum output, boosting oil prices. Nigeria is a major supplier of oil to the U.S.

A host of other supply and demand concerns in the U.S. and abroad, along with the dollar's weakness, have served to support prices, even as record retail gasoline prices in the United States appear to be dampening demand. Crude prices rose nearly 6 percent last week.

Analysts believe the weaker dollar is the primary reason oil has soared well past $100 a barrel this year. A sinking dollar draws investors to hard commodities such as oil and gold as hedges against inflation. Also, a weak dollar makes the commodities less expensive for buyers operating in other currencies.

OPEC Secretary-General al-Badri said Sunday that the group "will not hesitate" to increase production if it thought the higher prices were due to shortages. But he said more oil will not solve the high prices.

Also over the weekend, Iran's hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was quoted Saturday as saying crude oil prices at $115 a barrel are too low, and that oil must "discover its real value."

"The oil price of $115 a barrel in today's global markets is a deceiving figure. Oil is a strategic commodity that needs to discover its real value," the Web site of Iran's state-run television quoted Ahmadinejad as saying.

The Iranian president made the remarks during a visit to an oil and gas exhibition in Tehran late Friday.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures were flat at $3.2923 a gallon while gasoline prices fell 0.18 cent to $2.9875 a gallon. Natural gas futures rose 1.3 cent to $10.60 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Brent crude futures for June rose 3 cents to $113.95 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

Oil Falls a Second Day on Signs Prices Will Curb U.S. Demand

By Christian Schmollinger

April 11 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell for a second day in New York on signs that high prices and a slowing economy will curb U.S. fuel consumption.

The four-week average of implied U.S. fuel demand was less than last year for the 10th straight week, the Energy Department reported on April 9. Gasoline use may drop this summer for the first time in 17 years, the agency said. Crude reached a record $112.21 a barrel on April 9.

``You look at the supply and demand fundamentals in the transportation fuel market, demand has been weak,'' said Victor Shum, senior principal at Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore. ``The fundamentals don't support the rally in oil pricing so some caution has returned to the market.''

Crude oil for May delivery fell as much as 62 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $109.49 a barrel in after-hours trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $109.92 at 2:59 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, futures fell 76 cents, or 0.7 percent, to settle at $110.11 a barrel. Prices are up 77 percent from a year ago.

Crude oil in New York rose to a record $112.21 a barrel on April 9 after an unexpected decline in U.S. oil inventories.

``The demand situation is deteriorating all the time,'' said Rowan Menzies, head of research at Commodity Warrants Australia Ltd. in Sydney. ``There is a disconnect between the price of oil right now and what the data is telling us in terms of demand slowing down.''

Weak Dollar

Brent crude for May settlement was at $108.29 a barrel, up 9 cents, on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange at 3 p.m. Singapore time. The contract yesterday declined 0.3 percent to settle at $108.20, after reaching a record $109.98.

Oil prices also fell as the euro declined from a record against the dollar. The dollar's drop has encouraged investors to buy commodities and made oil cheaper for buyers in other currencies.

Federal Reserve officials anticipated the U.S. economy will shrink in the first half of the year and expressed some concern about ``a prolonged and severe economic downturn'' as they cut interest rates last month, according to minutes of the March 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released April 8.

U.S. implied fuel demand averaged 20.5 million barrels a day in the past four weeks, down 0.4 percent from a year earlier, the Energy Department said.

``Everyone seems to be blithely ignoring the fundamentals of supply and demand at the moment,'' said Commodity Warrants' Menzies. The economic situation in the U.S. ``should be having an impact on people's perceptions of what demand will do in the next three months.''

Crude oil may fall next week as imports increase and U.S. refiners operate at below-average rates, bolstering inventories.

Fifteen of 28 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News, or 54 percent, said prices will drop through April 18. Eleven of the respondents, or 39 percent, said futures will rise and two forecast that prices will be little changed. Last week, 47 percent said oil would decline.

To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net.

Oil prices spike to record above $117 a barrel

By THOMAS HOGUE

BANGKOK, Thailand (AP) — Oil prices spiked to a record above $117 a barrel Monday in Asia following an attack on a key pipeline in Nigeria at the end of last week.

Comments over the weekend by an OPEC official that the group isn't likely to increase production also supported prices.

Abdullah el al-Badri, secretary-general of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said Sunday that oil prices would likely go higher and that the group was ready to raise production if the price pressure was due to a shortage of supply — something he doubted.

"Oil prices, there is a common understanding that has nothing to do with supply and demand," al-Badri said on the sidelines of an energy conference in Rome.

Light, sweet crude for May delivery rose as high as $117.05 a barrel in Asian electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange early Monday. At midday in Singapore, the contract was trading at $116.73 a barrel, up 4 cents from the end of last week.

On Friday, May crude surged $1.83 to $116.69 a barrel following the attack on the Royal Dutch Shell PLC pipeline by the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta — the main militant group in Nigeria's restive south.

The group also promised further attacks on the petroleum industry in Africa's largest producer of crude oil.

Last Friday, Shell confirmed a pipeline leak that it said appeared to have been caused by explosives. It said it had isolated the line for repairs and that a small quantity of production had been shut.

Attacks since early 2006 on Nigerian oil infrastructure by the militant group have cut nearly one-quarter of the country's normal petroleum output, boosting oil prices. Nigeria is a major supplier of oil to the U.S.

A host of other supply and demand concerns in the U.S. and abroad, along with the dollar's weakness, have served to support prices, even as record retail gasoline prices in the United States appear to be dampening demand. Crude prices rose nearly 6 percent last week.

Analysts believe the weaker dollar is the primary reason oil has soared well past $100 a barrel this year. A sinking dollar draws investors to hard commodities such as oil and gold as hedges against inflation. Also, a weak dollar makes the commodities less expensive for buyers operating in other currencies.

OPEC Secretary-General al-Badri said Sunday that the group "will not hesitate" to increase production if it thought the higher prices were due to shortages. But he said more oil will not solve the high prices.

Also over the weekend, Iran's hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was quoted Saturday as saying crude oil prices at $115 a barrel are too low, and that oil must "discover its real value."

"The oil price of $115 a barrel in today's global markets is a deceiving figure. Oil is a strategic commodity that needs to discover its real value," the Web site of Iran's state-run television quoted Ahmadinejad as saying.

The Iranian president made the remarks during a visit to an oil and gas exhibition in Tehran late Friday.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures were flat at $3.2923 a gallon while gasoline prices fell 0.18 cent to $2.9875 a gallon. Natural gas futures rose 1.3 cent to $10.60 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Brent crude futures for June rose 3 cents to $113.95 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

Oil Falls a Second Day on Signs Prices Will Curb U.S. Demand

By Christian Schmollinger

April 11 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell for a second day in New York on signs that high prices and a slowing economy will curb U.S. fuel consumption.

The four-week average of implied U.S. fuel demand was less than last year for the 10th straight week, the Energy Department reported on April 9. Gasoline use may drop this summer for the first time in 17 years, the agency said. Crude reached a record $112.21 a barrel on April 9.

``You look at the supply and demand fundamentals in the transportation fuel market, demand has been weak,'' said Victor Shum, senior principal at Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore. ``The fundamentals don't support the rally in oil pricing so some caution has returned to the market.''

Crude oil for May delivery fell as much as 62 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $109.49 a barrel in after-hours trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $109.92 at 2:59 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, futures fell 76 cents, or 0.7 percent, to settle at $110.11 a barrel. Prices are up 77 percent from a year ago.

Crude oil in New York rose to a record $112.21 a barrel on April 9 after an unexpected decline in U.S. oil inventories.

``The demand situation is deteriorating all the time,'' said Rowan Menzies, head of research at Commodity Warrants Australia Ltd. in Sydney. ``There is a disconnect between the price of oil right now and what the data is telling us in terms of demand slowing down.''

Weak Dollar

Brent crude for May settlement was at $108.29 a barrel, up 9 cents, on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange at 3 p.m. Singapore time. The contract yesterday declined 0.3 percent to settle at $108.20, after reaching a record $109.98.

Oil prices also fell as the euro declined from a record against the dollar. The dollar's drop has encouraged investors to buy commodities and made oil cheaper for buyers in other currencies.

Federal Reserve officials anticipated the U.S. economy will shrink in the first half of the year and expressed some concern about ``a prolonged and severe economic downturn'' as they cut interest rates last month, according to minutes of the March 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released April 8.

U.S. implied fuel demand averaged 20.5 million barrels a day in the past four weeks, down 0.4 percent from a year earlier, the Energy Department said.

``Everyone seems to be blithely ignoring the fundamentals of supply and demand at the moment,'' said Commodity Warrants' Menzies. The economic situation in the U.S. ``should be having an impact on people's perceptions of what demand will do in the next three months.''

Crude oil may fall next week as imports increase and U.S. refiners operate at below-average rates, bolstering inventories.

Fifteen of 28 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News, or 54 percent, said prices will drop through April 18. Eleven of the respondents, or 39 percent, said futures will rise and two forecast that prices will be little changed. Last week, 47 percent said oil would decline.

To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net.